-
philosophertoby uploaded and replied to a comment from Carneades.org 4 days ago
I disagree on grue, because it requires a physical change for something to remain grue. I would argue that people who suggest that this is uniformity of nature are wrong. The fact that they would have to check their watch to see what things should be like to remain uniform should tell you something.
The Problem of Induction... solved?
In this video, I discuss the Problem of Induction, largely attributed to David Hume, and why inductive reasoning is a valid form of reasoning. -
philosophertoby replied to a comment from Manos Protonotarios and liked 2 months ago
I'm not sure exactly what you mean - I'm not sure what the units of predicting power are if that's what you're after. But basically this experiment would be as robust as any other where there are two possible outcomes and where there are an equal number of trials.
Free Will Disproved
In this video I make a case against the possibility of free will by arguing that it can never be more free than random chance. My website: http://www.tobypereira.co.uk -
philosophertoby uploaded a video 2 months ago
Medians, Percentiles, Means and Permeantiles
In this video, as well as giving an in-depth discussion on medians, percentiles and means, I discuss the "missing" fourth part of this quartet: the statistical tool that is to the mean that percentiles are to the median - the "permeantile".
I don't mention any potential applications for permeantiles in the video. But it can have applications.
For example, you might want to compare your marathon running time with your competitors. If you finish around the middle, you might want to compare your time against the median and mean. You might find, for example, that your time was quicker than the mean time but slower than the median time. But if you are much quicker or slower than the average runner, you would ordinarily only have percentiles to look at. Your time might be quicker than 90% of the runners, so on the 10th percentile of time taken, but because you're not an average runner and the mean is of no use to you, you only have one method of comparison. This is an asymmetry that permeantiles fix.
Similarly you might want to compare your personal best half marathon time with your personal best full marathon time. A half marathon might have a median finishing time of 1 hour and 45 minutes, and a full marathon a median time of 3 hours and 45 minutes (these times are made up so don't use them as real averages). So you could say that in some sense, a time of 1 hour and 45 minutes in a half marathon is equivalent to (as good as) a time of 3 hours and 45 minutes in a full marathon. And If your personal best half marathon time is 1 hour and 30 minutes, you can see what percentile that puts you at, and then find the equivalent percentile for a full marathon. This way you can find an equivalent full marathon time for any half marathon time, or vice versa.
But this is not the only way of calculating equivalent times. A half marathon might have a mean finishing time of 1 hour and 45 minutes, and a full marathon a mean finishing time of 4 hours. So you could say that in this sense, a time of 1 hour and 45 minutes in a half marathon is equivalent to a time of 4 hours in a full marathon. But if you can run a half marathon in 1 hour and 30 minutes, you can't use the mean to find an equivalent full marathon time. Instead you would have to look at the relevant permeantiles. -
philosophertoby subscribed to a channel 7 months ago
Matt Morrison
- CHANNEL
-
philosophertoby subscribed to a channel 7 months ago
-
philosophertoby replied to a comment from jonesgerard 1 year ago
I don't know if you agree with Penrose simply because he's a top mathematician and I'm just some guy on YouTube (possibly even a crackpot), or whether you agree with his actual arguments, and posted that as a summary. If you agree with Penrose simply because you see him as an authority, it's worth noting that his position is a minority one among academics, ignoring all YouTube crackpots.
Penrose, Godel and Consciousness
I discuss Roger Penrose's argument that human thought cannot be represented on a digital computer, based on Kurt Godel's incompleteness theorem. I argue against it. My website: http://www.tobypereira.co.uk -
philosophertoby replied to a comment from kilagotleb 1 year ago
What I really meant was before you open your eyes and see where you are. Also a replica laboratory could be set up in 100 years, so you still wouldn't see any different until you went outside.
Some Thought Experiments on Personal Identity
In this video I present some thought-provoking (hopefully) thought experiments about personal identity where identical copies of you are created in different situations. Everything here is discussed in my forthcoming book on consciousness. My website: http://www.tobypereira.co.uk -
philosophertoby replied to a comment from David Deutsch 1 year ago
It's a poor state of affairs if we can't have a good system at local and national level. I think majority governments are overrated. A reasonable system of non-party-list PR could help eliminate the entrenched two-party system, so the largest party isn't always one of two, with the third party variable. We don't need a majority government - single-party or coalition. Majorities should form over particular issues, not in a pre-agreed manner on all issues.
David Deutsch on the AV Referendum (UK)
*The Beginning of Infinity* includes, in the chapter on Choices, a discussion of electoral systems, their paradoxes, and the criterion by which they ought to be judged. But it does not specifically mention the AV (Alternative-Vote) system. Since a referendum on changing the British electoral system to AV is imminent, I thought I'd summarise here what I think is the decisive argument for voting 'No'. -
philosophertoby commented 1 year ago
Presumably this was recorded from an emulator?
I think you could improve your lap times and therefore your points haul by using soft tyres, type 1 wing and manual gears. I find the type 2 wing to be a particularly bad compromise.
You say it's unclear who won, because you don't know the other drivers' points, but actually the other drivers don't have any individual indentities. If you score enough points (as you did) you are declared the winner. Otherwise you aren't. I think you need 60 points.
Super Monaco GP (Game Gear) - Complete Playthrough
This is a complete playthrough of Super Monaco GP, for the Game Gear. In this game you have to drive 3 laps in 16 circuits from all over the world. This is NOT tool-assisted, in fact there are a few mistakes here and there as well. It is a simple playthrough. It is also my first longer video (not limited to 10 nor 15 minutes), yay.
Note that at the end it is unclear who won since you don't know the points of the other drivers and there are no names mentioned.
By the way, for those people out there who prefer imperial units, the highest speed I reach, 321km/h, is approximately 200 mph. -
philosophertoby commented 2 years ago
I think I was probably a bit lucky to get through the crashes to win this one. From what I could see I doubt my laptimes were up with the best!
touring car mayhem race at perryfields springfield rccc
Graham Robson on the case in race control, racing were Matt,Toby,Chris,John,Andy & myself. With cameo apperances from other regulars